shutterstock_1023606736 e-commerce

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E-commerce volumes from China to the US have decreased, while volumes from China to Europe have increased, new research has found.

For the period May-July, the US receieved 15% of China’s e-commerce exports. This is down 16% from the same period last year, shows data from supply chain consultancy firm, Aevean.

E-commerce volumes have shifted to Europe. The region received 27% of exports from May-July, up 6% year on year. 

Hungary, Belgium and the UK now receive 53,000 tonnes combined, said Maarten Wormer, head of consulting in a LinkedIn post on 25 August.

"Europe's top 3 destinations together welcome ±6 daily widebody freighters worth of e-commerce MORE in 2025 May-Jul than one year ago," he said.

The share of ex-China e-commerce to other regions has also risen from 48% to 57%.

E-commerce geographical distribution

E-commerce geographical distribution

Source: Aevean

E-commerce volumes from China to the US began declining in May after the US govenment removed the de minimis exemption that allowed packages worth less than $800 to enter duty-free and with minimal customs scrutiny.

The removal of the exemption means packages from China transported by a commercial airline will need to pay a 30% tariff rate, or, when using postal networks, they will be subject to a rate of 54% or a flat fee of $100.

A whitepaper recently released by TIACA also found that Asia Pacific has become a greater origin point for e-commerce air cargo volumes following US tariff and de minimis changes that curbed e-commerce out of China.